美银警告：当前市场呈现泡沫后期特征，建议采取防御性配置策略
BlockBeats 消息，5 月 29 日，美国银行指出，当前市场仍处于「极度看涨」区间，呈现典型泡沫后期特征。其核心反向指标「牛熊指标」虽回落至 9.4，但自去年 12 月发出的风险资产「卖出」信号仍然有效。美银表示，资金正从科技七巨头、比特币等「AI 崇拜」资产流向白银、工业金属、区域性银行及小盘价值股等受益于实体经济复苏的板块。其警告称，一旦 AI 云服务巨头宣布削减资本开支，可能成为市场风格切换的重要催化剂。
报告建议投资者在 2026 年采取更具防御性的配置策略，看好长久期美国国债作为风险对冲工具。同时认为，随着市场重心从大型成长股转向实体经济相关资产，小盘价值股及新兴市场股票有望接棒大型科技股，成为下一轮长期牛市的主要受益者。此外，美银指出，「除美元外买入一切」正成为新的市场主线，AI 对大宗商品需求的提升或进一步利好新兴市场资产。
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