FreedmanCrypto[互关版]

The US-Iran negotiations have taken a turn, and my account has turned around as well. To be honest, I haven't been keeping up with the news about the US-Iran negotiations these past couple of days. Just when I was reading about "Iran planning to block the Strait," Trump tweeted, "Iran is about to collapse, begging us to open the door." This plot twist happened faster than my contract liquidation. I have some $ETH and $SOL, and I was thinking that an escalation in geopolitical tensions might lead to a safe-haven rally. But what happened? The news came out, and the market didn't rise; my position lost money first—because I misjudged the macro direction. The funniest part is, just after I cut my losses, a news item popped up saying, "The three-phase plan was rejected." I was completely stunned: who should I listen to? Right now, my feeling is: it's not that the market is hard to understand, it's that these messages are too chaotic, making it impossible to judge. I might as well not make any moves for now. How have you been handling your positions these past few days? Are you feeling as confused as I am?

$BTC $SOL Let me talk about my state this morning. This morning I took a look at the market, $BTC returned to $77,084, up 0.26%, $ETH at $2,328, up 1.92%, and $SOL at $84.8, also showing a slight recovery. But to be honest, my account hasn't recovered yet. Before Powell's speech yesterday, I closed my long position on $SOL at $83. After I sold, it continued to drop, but I didn't dare to re-enter. This afternoon, Powell will speak, and the market generally expects no changes, but Trump has been calling for rate cuts, so there's a lot of suspense. My current thought is: if Powell is dovish tonight, $SOL might rebound directly; if he remains hawkish, then $SOL might continue to grind down. To be honest, I’m a bit tempted to buy $SOL at $83, but I'm afraid of catching it halfway up. What do you all think? Can $SOL return to $90 after Powell tonight? #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 # LayerZero承诺超1万枚ETH支持Aave #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告

$ETH 2325, yet I'm worried about Powell tomorrow. I checked my account this afternoon, and $ETH is steadily at 2325, but I can't sleep. It's not happiness, it's panic. Tomorrow is Powell's interest rate decision. Last time he was dovish, the market rose for a day, then pulled back. This time, with mid-year approaching, interest rate expectations are starting to waver. That little bit of $ETH long position I have feels like holding a cup full of water; if I walk too fast, it might spill. This morning I saw that the US-Iran negotiations have changed again, and the geopolitical risk premium is rising. In the past, I would say this is good for safe-haven assets, but now I've learned my lesson—news can hold for ten minutes, or it might not even last that long. Recently, my operations have become more conservative, but the account curve hasn't improved. It feels like... you think you're making progress, but you're just stepping into smaller pits. There's a saying in the crypto world: bear markets earn experience, bull markets lose capital. I've experienced both now. What are you planning to do before the interest rate decision tomorrow night? Or are you like me—holding positions through the holiday, relying on luck for your mindset? #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 # LayerZero承诺超1万枚ETH支持Aave

$84 for SOL, Powell is going to speak tonight, and I'm starting to panic again. This morning I saw SOL rebound to $84, and my emotions stabilized a bit. A few days ago when it was at $83, I really thought it was going to zero, so I cut my position in half, and the remaining half has just broken even now. Tonight Powell is discussing interest rates, and the market is currently on the sidelines. The top trending topic on CMC is Powell, and the atmosphere in the crypto space is a bit subtle—on one hand, the narratives around AI and RWA continue to heat up, while on the other hand, macro pressures could come crashing down at any moment. BTC has stabilized above $77K today, but to be honest, $77K isn't really stable; it's just a psychological barrier. ETH is actually stronger than BTC, at $2314, with a 24-hour increase of +1.21%. I'm hesitant to make a move now, fearing that once Powell speaks, we might see another 40% drop. But I'm also afraid of missing out on a potential major upward wave. The term "position management" seemed simple when reading about it, but I only understood it after being repeatedly tested by the market. What are your plans for tonight? Are you going to watch from the sidelines or take a half position to bet on the direction? Share your numbers in the comments. $SOL $BTC #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战

$BTC Bloodied pullback, I cleared all my short positions. This morning I took a look at my positions; last night when $BTC dropped to $82,000, I got a bit itchy and bought some at the bottom, but it then plummeted another $1,000 before stabilizing. I cleared all my short positions and now I’m just holding a bit of a bottom position. Today, there isn’t really any major negative news, but with the altcoin season here, everyone is running, and once the high positions start to loosen, it’s easy to trigger a sell-off. I previously looked at $SOL at $83 but didn’t dare to enter, and it really did reach that point, only to drop back down again. The most frustrating part of this market isn’t losing money; it’s watching opportunities float by one after another and telling myself there will be a next time. Right now, market sentiment is a bit polarized—some are calling for a $100,000 bull market still on, while others have already started to go to cash waiting for $70,000. My own judgment is: the short-term hasn’t finished dropping yet, but if the $78,000-$80,000 range can hold, there’s still hope ahead. How are your positions now? Are you still holding or have you already run? Let me know in the comments. #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

The White House is about to make a big move, and this time it's related to Bitcoin. Last night I saw news that the White House crypto advisor hinted at a "major announcement" in a few weeks regarding Trump's strategic Bitcoin reserves, amounting to $25 billion. My first reaction was: is this just another hype? To be honest, I feel a bit numb seeing this kind of news now. At the $80K level, BTC has fluctuated back and forth several times, and every time I think it's about to break through, it gets knocked down. Last month, I told a friend that I thought this wave could push to $82K, but I ended up getting stuck for almost two weeks. But what's different this time is that the U.S. government is saying they are going to take action, not just making casual statements. Today I saw that Strategy's holdings have exceeded 800,000 Bitcoins, and institutions are still buying. So I'm wondering, is this wave really about to kick off, or is it just another "good news sell-off"? My position is currently half, and I've decided to wait and see. What do you think? Will this announcement be the catalyst for BTC to break through, or is it just another "wolf is coming" scenario? Share your thoughts in the comments. $BTC #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

The $77K pie is grinding the bottom again, and I'm sweating with anticipation for Powell's press conference tonight 😅 This morning I saw Strategy quietly surpass BlackRock to become the largest holder of BTC, and my heart skipped a beat. Institutions are bottom-fishing, but the price is still hovering below 77k. Magicaden's comment yesterday that "there won't be a new high in 2026" is starting to sound more and more jarring. I'm currently holding half a position in $BTC and don't dare to move, as what Powell says tonight will directly determine the direction. Half a position betting on hawkish, half a position betting on dovish, just a thin layer of paper apart. Is there anyone in the comments waiting for this turning point tonight like me? What do you think? #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决

A small suggestion for OKX products As an old user of OKX Planet, I want to share a real experience issue. For actions like liking and commenting, sometimes when the network is a bit slow, it takes several seconds to see the effect after clicking, which feels particularly laggy. I think we can refer to the practices of some mature apps: first provide instant feedback locally, like showing +1 for likes and displaying comments immediately, and then request the interface. This way, even if the network is slow, users won't feel like the app is just spinning. Essentially, it's about separating "action" and "result"—when a user clicks, let them know "I received it," and then update the status once the interface returns success. I wonder if other users feel the same way? #OKX星球 #ProductSuggestion @OKX中文 @OKX星球 @OKX Orbit @Star_OKX

Powell, on his last day in office, the market is trembling. I saw the news yesterday that Powell is having his last FOMC today, and it feels like the whole market is holding its breath. To be honest, I couldn't sleep last night; the number $82,000 was running through my mind. I woke up to see $KEEP bleeding and $SOL dropping, and my entire position was a sea of red. $40B in liquidity is being withdrawn—this is not a small amount. Institutions are running for the exits early. Thinking about it now, Powell is leaving, and Warsh is coming in; this plot is more thrilling than watching short videos. Who knows how the market will move next month. Are you currently in cash or holding on? I really feel like I can't hold on much longer…😄 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战

BTC demand hits a new high for 2025, but the price is still bottoming out — what are funds positioning for? There's an interesting piece of data from the past couple of days: BTC ETFs have seen net inflows for 9 consecutive days, totaling over $2.1 billion. Yet, at the same time, the BTC price has fallen below the psychological threshold of $77,000, hovering around the $76k range. Demand and price are at odds, which often indicates some kind of buildup in previous cycles. The last time a similar situation occurred was at the end of 2023 when the first batch of institutional ETFs was approved; the inflow data looked great, but it took nearly two months for the price to really take off. History doesn't simply repeat itself, but the rhythm of capital involvement is worth noting. Currently, the market is in a wait-and-see mode for both bulls and bears. Bears believe what the "crypto godfather" said — that BTC hasn't bottomed out yet, and a new high in 2026 is unlikely. Bulls are watching traditional institutions like BlackRock continuously increase their positions, believing that smart money is already entering the market. Even the White House crypto advisor has hinted that "big announcements are coming in a few weeks," and Trump's strategic Bitcoin reserve issue has been brewing. What’s truly worth observing now is: how long will this divergence last? If ETFs continue to accumulate while the BTC price remains stagnant, are the chips concentrating or dispersing? Prolonged stagnation must lead to change; the next few weeks could be a critical window. Which direction do you think this divergence will ultimately correct towards? $BTC #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

Powell is about to speak, and I'm a bit anxious. I came across the topic #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 and remembered that the Fed is going to announce the interest rate decision. To be honest, I’ve never really understood macro policies. Every time Powell speaks, the market either skyrockets or crashes, and I never know why. Once I saw the news saying "the Fed is dovish," and the next day $ETH actually went up. I thought I had found a pattern, but the third and fourth times were completely different. Now I don’t dare to bet on this news anymore. But I can’t help but wonder: what if this time it’s good news? What if the expectations for a rate cut really increase, will the market surge? Do you all bet on the Fed's decision in advance, or do you just watch like me?