Powerpei

Powerpei

I will share some of my experiences here, welcome to follow me, I will also reply to build the OKX planet together

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Powerpei
Powerpei
Yesterday I renewed a subscription for an overseas data tool I usually use. It was just a bill for a few dozen dollars, but I kept getting a payment failure. In the end, my domestic bank sent me a risk control message and froze my credit card. I called and argued with customer service for almost half an hour. I had to exhaust my words to prove "I am me, I am spending my own money and I haven't been scammed," before they reluctantly unblocked it. After hanging up, I looked at the card on my desk and really felt that this old financial system is completely rotten. You think the money is yours, but in their eyes, you are just a tenant with the right to use it. > This is also why I kept staring at the announcement of Bybit's 10 million WLFI reward today, reading it several times. ———— Many people look at such activities, their eyes glued to daily check-ins and playing TradeGPT to collect fragments for a lottery. To be honest, I can't even be bothered to click on those time-consuming data games that act as free labor. ➤ What really caught my attention was the most inconspicuous line in the announcement: permanent zero fees between USDC and USD1, and full access to mainstream coin pairs. Think about it, what keeps an exchange alive? It's the transaction fees. Bybit is now willing to cut this fat piece off and even subsidize a few million dollars worth of tokens for the event, what are they after? If you look at the on-chain data, you'll understand. ➤ USD1 has recently quietly increased its issuance by over 20 million coins. Moreover, institutions like MovaLab have directly become the first batch of super nodes. They are starting to slice into the cake of foreign exchange remittances and AI payments. This is not just a simple spring promotion for the platform; it’s political capital behind it using real money for subsidies. They are forcibly laying down a parallel dollar track in the market. ———— In this circle, don’t go against the trend. Now major exchanges are competing for the pricing power and liquidity of this new track. For us retail investors, arguing about whether this thing is truly decentralized is meaningless. My operations are extremely boring, but also the most stable. ➤ Move the idle USDC sitting on the chain over; after all, the exchange is zero-cost, and I can easily hit a $500 spot trading volume threshold. Since the giants are willing to spend money to seize the ecological base, then this certain liquidity subsidy is something to take advantage of. As for the 1 million prize pool's Mantle chain interaction, if you have the energy, just click a couple of times to grab it. In this market full of landmines, earning subsidies that you can understand is much more reassuring than blindly guessing the market. Alright, enough said. I still need to renew that damn tool; after the bank's hassle, I even forgot my login password.
Powerpei
Powerpei
Watching Hong Kong IPOs these past two days, my biggest impression isn't that the hype has died down, but that making money has become harder. As of May 20, 2026, the market heat is actually still there: > Top Group CNC's grey market price once exceeded the IPO price by 47.8% > Yushi Technology's grey market price was 1.2% below the listing price > Dano Pharma-B reportedly oversubscribed by over 9000 times in the public offering > Yunyinggu Technology, Shenyen Intelligent, and Huaxida are still in the subscription phase. On the surface, the new stock market is still very hot But looking at these together, my feeling is clear: It's not that there's no money now, but the market has clearly started to be selective. Those that can get high premiums are usually the types that: Have scarcity in their sector Have a clear story Have a more favorable shareholding structure So Hong Kong IPOs in 2026 are gradually shifting from "hot market means easy gains" to "only recognizable quality stocks attract investors." In summary: Hong Kong IPOs haven't cooled off, but the phase of making money blindly is basically over. #港股打新
Powerpei
Powerpei
Many stablecoins are actually quite awkward. When they first launch, their issuance scale, reserve backing, partner lists, and social media presence can all be presented very comprehensively. But after some time, the core question often boils down to just one: Is it really being used? If users just keep it in their accounts, occasionally swap it for events, or it only appears in announcements, then essentially it’s still a “static stablecoin.” So when I saw Binance launch the BTC/USD1 perpetual contract this time, my first reaction wasn’t simply to cheer it as good news. I felt more that this is putting USD1 into a place where the market can truly test it. The BTC perpetual contract scene is very real. High trading frequency, high liquidity requirements, and very picky users. If it’s not good to use, they won’t use it; if the slippage is uncomfortable, they’ll switch; if capital efficiency is insufficient, it’s hard to stay. This is different from ordinary partnership announcements. Partnership announcements can tell stories, ecosystem events can boost short-term data, but derivative trading scenes are hard to sustain long-term on sentiment alone. If USD1, after entering Binance Futures, can really generate trading volume, margin demand, and develop certain usage habits, then its positioning is no longer just a new stablecoin. It will start to approach the role of settlement fuel within the trading system. But conversely, if after the hype no one continues to use it, that also shows the market only bought into the narrative briefly. This matter is also quite critical for $WLFI. Because whether $WLFI can continue to tell its story later doesn’t just depend on how much attention the Trump label can bring. More importantly, whether USD1 can transform from a topical stablecoin into one with a real usage path. I think the next round of competition among stablecoins will become increasingly realistic. Issuance volume, backing, partnerships, and buzz are of course important, but these only determine whether it can catch the market’s attention. What truly decides whether it can stay is whether it enters trading, margin, settlement, and on-chain liquidity scenarios that users engage with daily. Binance has given USD1 an entry point this time. What follows is not about how the story is told, but whether traders will actually use it. This is more honest than any announcement. Note: The above content is for project analysis only and does not constitute any investment advice. DORY
Powerpei reposted
GMwallet 华语
GMwallet 华语
Good afternoon, bosses! Here's a report to all shareholders on the current GM meeting lineup! Welcome @caringtank @0xduyan @NFTMILK @PWenzhen76938 @realNyarime @0xCheshire (in no particular order, from left to right) — these six big shots have joined our GM Wallet affiliate accounts! Once you join, you're family! Tip: Although the order doesn't imply ranking, there is still a difference between those sitting on the floor and those sitting on chairs!
Powerpei
Powerpei
NVDA options trading volume surged 268 times—Is it institutions dumping or retail investors celebrating? Today there’s a data point in the US stock options market that’s quite suitable for discussion. ➤ NVDA May 15 expiration Put option with a strike price of $232.5 saw a trading volume of 108,700 contracts But the open interest is only 405 contracts VOL/OI exceeds 268 times Even more astonishing, this Put option dropped over 86% on the same day Many people see this data and their first reaction is: Is big money bearish on Nvidia? Not necessarily This is exactly where options are most easily misunderstood. ---- ➢ Let’s start with the Put A Put can be simply understood as: Betting on a price drop, or buying insurance for a position. For example, if you buy an NVDA Put, theoretically you hope NVDA falls But the biggest difference between options and spot is: > Spot only requires the direction to be right; time doesn’t necessarily hurt you immediately. > Options are different. > Options have an expiration date You not only have to be right about the direction, but also within a specified time. ---- Why did this NVDA Put have such a large trading volume but still drop 86%? ➤ The core reason is: The price didn’t move according to its rhythm. May 15 expiration means it’s very close to expiry Such short-term options experience rapid time decay. You might think NVDA has risen too much or that it should pull back. But if it doesn’t quickly drop before expiration, the Put’s time value will be eaten away. The harshest part of options is: You might be right about the direction, but wrong about the timing, and still lose money. ---- Now look at volume and open interest. Volume: how many contracts traded today Open Interest: how many contracts remain open in the market This NVDA Put: → Volume about 108,700 contracts → Open Interest about 405 contracts This indicates very active trading on the day, far exceeding existing positions. But this does not equal "long-term big money heavily bearish." It could just be: > Intraday short-term trades > Hedging > Market maker adjustments > Near-expiration speculation > Quick in-and-out speculative orders So seeing large volume doesn’t mean a big bear is coming. ---- Why is VOL/OI important? Simply put: ➤ Volume / Open Interest The higher this number, the more sudden the trading surge on that day. NVDA’s Put VOL/OI exceeds 268 times This is indeed an anomaly But anomalies only represent one thing: ➤ At this strike, many funds are expressing short-term views. It doesn’t mean the bearish bet will succeed Nor does it mean it’s smart money And it doesn’t guarantee profits ---- ➢ QQQ shows a similar situation A May 15 expiration Put with a strike price of $719 had a volume of about 25,400 contracts Open interest only 162 contracts VOL/OI exceeds 156 times But this Put also dropped over 63% on the day This shows short-term funds are not only watching NVDA but also betting on Nasdaq volatility with QQQ But the result is the same: High volume does not equal a confirmed direction In the options market, what you often see is sentiment, not answers. ---- Now let’s look at IV IV is implied volatility You can understand it as: The market’s price for future volatility. Higher IV means more expensive options Lower IV means cheaper options Buying options is not just betting on direction You’re also buying volatility If you buy a Put and the price doesn’t drop significantly, and IV is suppressed, that’s a double loss: > Direction didn’t materialize > Volatility didn’t help you Many people lose money on options not because they were completely wrong But because only one of direction, timing, or volatility was correct ---- So short-term options, especially 0DTE / near-expiration options, are like adding a countdown to market views. You can’t just say: NVDA is too high Nasdaq should pull back You also have to answer: → When will it drop? → How far will it drop? → How fast will it drop? → Will IV expand? → Is there any event catalyst? → Is liquidity sufficient? Missing any condition can completely distort the profit curve This is why short-term options look exciting but are very unfriendly to ordinary investors. ---- When I see options anomalies now, I don’t jump to conclusions like: Someone is massively bearish Institutions are dumping Smart money is entering I prefer to treat it as a sentiment thermometer. A sudden surge in Put volume means someone is defending at a high level or betting on a pullback. But if the Put price quickly goes to zero, it means the drop didn’t happen. Bearish defense failed. Conversely, if Put volume surges and the index really breaks key levels, short-term options may amplify volatility. ---- So the most important thing to watch in today’s NVDA / QQQ Put anomalies is not "who is bearish." But these variables: > Direction > Timing > Volatility > Volume > Open Interest > Liquidity Spot trading is often like a multiple-choice question Options are more like a multivariable equation You can’t just be right about up or down You have to be right about: ➤ Direction, timing, volatility magnitude, IV changes, expiration structure ---- ➤ My own understanding is: In the high phase of US stocks, the options market increasingly acts as a sentiment amplifier Especially for highly watched names like NVDA, QQQ, SPY When everyone is looking for a pullback at highs, Put volume suddenly surges. But if prices don’t fall quickly, these Puts decay rapidly, creating new squeezes. So don’t simply see options anomalies as answers. They are more like questions: At this level, is the market defending or betting on a failed pullback? That’s what’s worth tracking. Note: The above content is purely personal opinion for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!! #Options #NVDA #QQQ #USStocks #Options
Powerpei
Powerpei
Recently, when I look at stablecoins, I pay less and less attention to who tells the biggest story Because this sector is no longer short of stories. >The real scarcity is: Whether it has been integrated into real trading paths So regarding the BTCUSD1 perpetual contract, I won’t just look at the 100x leverage. What’s more worth watching is that USD1 has entered: ➢ Quote currency ➢ Margin ➢ Collateral ➢ Portfolio Margin This is not just about launching a trading pair But it’s starting to enter the trading settlement path. >Solana is also making moves here On May 14, the related ecosystem announced cooperation with @byreal_io On May 19, there will be trading competitions and incentives But incentives need to be viewed with restraint They can bring short-term trading volume, But that doesn’t mean they can bring long-term retention. >The real thing to watch is: After the event ends, Whether users, liquidity, and trading frequency remain. >The Tempo line is also interesting USD1 was natively launched on @tempo, becoming the first TIP-20 stablecoin with a supply exceeding 4.5 billion If it can extend from exchange margin to on-chain ecosystems and payment infrastructure, Then it’s not just another new stablecoin But it’s starting to test whether it can become a reusable settlement asset. I’m not blindly bullish on this line. It’s just that the stablecoin sector is too competitive now. >Issuance scale is not the endgame >Real usage is Whoever can enter the real trading path has the chance to be retained by the market. What $WLFI really needs to verify later is not short-term sentiment, But whether the usage scenarios of USD1 can continue to spread. Note: The USD1 related ecosystem is still developing, the content does not constitute any investment advice, DYOR #USD1 #WLFI #DeFi
Powerpei reposted
大漠哥
大漠哥
After researching quantitative trading bots for a while, I fed it a large amount of technical indicators + current on-chain data, and through the AI agent, a trading strategy was summarized. 🚨 Latest BTC trading strategy: Buy on pullback plan (originally waiting for trigger, but now it has already dropped) 💡 Core logic: Patiently wait for confirmation of key support zones, do not blindly chase highs, place orders in batches after right-side signals are established. 📌 Trigger conditions (all must be met) Price touchpoint: Pull back to the 79,500 - 80,000 range. Candlestick pattern: 4H timeframe closes with a hammer candlestick with a long lower shadow or bullish engulfing, and absolutely must not break below the previous low of 79,188. Indicator resonance: 1H StochRSI successfully crosses above 20 from the oversold area. Derivatives data: Funding rate must not turn deeply negative (must stay above -0.02%, meaning shorts have not entered desperate shorting, market sentiment is relatively healthy). Fundamental catalyst: Warsh’s first speech concluded, market direction reaction is clear. ⚙️ Execution parameters (Post Only limit orders) 🎯 Enter in batches: (entry positions must meet all above requirements) 79,200 (light position 60%) 78,800 (add position 40%) 🛑 Hard stop loss: 78,200 (below previous low 78,613 + ATR buffer, to avoid integer liquidity hunting). 💰 Take profit targets (TP) TP1: 81,500 (close 50%, remaining position breakeven stop) TP2: 82,000 (close 30%, testing 200-day moving average resistance) TP3: 82,500 (keep 20% tail position, to play the right-side space after breakout) Currently developing a Skill linked to the exchange, allowing one-click order placement, local recording of order P&L, which can be summarized and reviewed later, and gradually refine entry indicators. (Given the current situation, we will observe its subsequent direction, do not directly open market orders) PS: This article is mainly for sharing technical information and does not constitute investment advice. #大漠茶馆 #openclaw #AI #quantitative trading
Powerpei reposted
GMwallet 华语
GMwallet 华语
I won't be able to mutually follow you Blue V accounts anymore, and I am very sorry🤣 In the past days, being side by side with all the Blue V teachers in the same following list was an extremely precious, dazzling, and surreal memory in my account's journey. Once upon a time, every time I opened my homepage and saw those rows of follows, I would vaguely feel that I was a little closer to the center of the world. Every like, every retweet, every subtle interaction from you was like a beam of light in the deep night, illuminating the path forward for my ordinary account. However, there is no feast that never ends, and the internet has no eternal mutual follows. Today, with a heavy and complicated heart, I have to say goodbye to this Blue V friendship. It's not that I don't cherish it, not that I don't miss it, and certainly not that I have forgotten the bits and pieces we once brushed past in the information flow. It's just that life must move forward, and the account must eventually follow its own path. Thank you for appearing in my following list, thank you for letting my homepage briefly have the illusion of "I seem to have some status." I will always remember those days. May all Blue V continue to shine and keep glowing and thriving in your respective fields. As for me, I will quietly exit with this memory. Mountains and rivers will meet again, the algorithm will see us again. Goodbye, my honorable Blue V friends. This time, just Gold V mutual follow?
Powerpei
Powerpei
Hong Kong IPOs have indeed heated up recently But one reality must be noted: ➢ Stocks with good gains are often hard to get Stocks that are easy to get may not have good gains. Many Hong Kong IPOs this year showed strong first-day performance, such as Jitai Technology, MiniMax, and Biren Technology, which carry AI / hard tech labels, all demonstrating strong profit potential. The problem is, the winning rate is also suppressed very low Popular stocks can be oversubscribed by thousands of times, and retail investors applying for just one lot often end up only running alongside. > Around May 15, Top Control CNC is worth paying close attention to. > IPO subscription from May 12-15, expected to list on May 20, one lot about HKD 2666 Its labels are strong: the first commercial aerospace stock, five-axis CNC machine tools, high-end manufacturing. Such stocks tend to get hot but also get crowded easily The biggest fear in Hong Kong IPOs is not that no one competes, but that everyone competes. Because if the hype is already maxed out during margin financing and the dark pool phase, the first day may turn into a cash-out game. ➤ So now, when participating in IPOs, you can’t just look at whether it’s popular You need to consider the winning rate, margin financing, valuation, dark pool, and first-day support. Being able to apply doesn’t mean applying recklessly. The core of Hong Kong IPO investing is not rushing in, but judging whether the profit has already been eaten up by others in advance. Note: The above content is for personal analysis only and does not constitute any investment advice, DROY #HongKongIPOs
Powerpei reposted
misa
misa
Welcome everyone to Misa's engagement party on 5.22 🤣 Since using #OnchainOS scanning chains, signing, capturing signals, taking the optimal path it does it all for me. I date, it guards my positions, I get married, it earns my dowry. I spend, it pays the bill for me. With Onchain OS it's not just holding hands, it's holding the optimal path of destiny. Onchain OS ready to use out of the box making complex decisions simple 💚
Powerpei
Powerpei
I recently came across a quite interesting mechanism design: 42 EventCoin (@42space's new concept) What it aims to do is not to create another Polymarket but to turn every storyline in the real world directly into a sustainably tradable Token Sports, entertainment, politics, cultural hotspots... all can become independent liquidity assets. This is not a one-time bet, but turning the view of the future itself into a market that can be continuously priced and traded. ---- I think the biggest difference between it and traditional prediction markets is not the subject matter, but the trading object. ➢ Polymarket trades `Yes/No probability shares` ➢ 42 EventCoin trades more like the `narrative itself` You are not just buying a result, you are participating in the full price discovery process of a storyline from incubation, dissemination to realization. This is very crucial ---- Mechanically, the core is two layers: ➤ The first layer is `Bonding Curve` automated market making It does not rely on traditional MM or LP Users directly mint/burn through contracts, price follows the demand curve. In other words, the earlier and stronger the conviction, the easier it is to directly push the price upward. This process is very much like a meme: emotion, consensus, FOMO, all get rapidly amplified. ➤ The second layer is `Winner-Takes-All` settlement After the event outcome is finalized, the losers' collateral goes entirely into a public pool, the winner takes the whole pool proportionally. This experience is quite different from traditional prediction markets where "win redeems 1, lose returns 0." It retains the result orientation of prediction markets, but its profit structure is closer to a pool game with stronger game-theoretic dynamics. ---- So from a product perspective, 42 EventCoin is more like a hybrid of `DeFi + Prediction + Meme`. > Prediction market gives it information discovery capability, > Bonding Curve gives it a fair on-chain market making mechanism, > Meme culture gives it viral power and participation. It’s not just predicting outcomes, but turning the pricing process itself into a tradable asset. ---- This is also its essential difference from Polymarket. Polymarket is strong; it has proven that a high-precision probability consensus market can exist. But essentially it is still an outcome market. 42 EventCoin takes a step further: It not only answers whether the result will happen but also assetizes "how the market forms consensus around this event." In other words, → Polymarket is more like trading outcomes, → 42 EventCoin is more like trading narratives The former answers whether the result will happen; the latter also trades how the market forms consensus around the event. ---- And what I find most noteworthy is that it’s not just a trading mechanism but also a community structure. Currently, project ambassador recruitment is open, targeting those who understand Game Theory, Bonding Curve, and market mechanisms and already have an active audience and want to co-define the future of EventCoin. Selected participants can get: early exclusive market access, co-creation of the roadmap with the core team, joint marketing, and growth incentive support. This shows it’s not just aiming to build a product, but wants to make consensus production part of the ecosystem. (Participation details are in teacher 527’s tweet below) This is also why I find it interesting. If this mechanism really takes off, it will attract not only speculators but also builders, traders, content disseminators, and community organizers because they participate not just in trading, but in a narrative market that can be collectively shaped. ---- Of course, whether this mechanism can ultimately succeed depends on three core things: > Whether liquidity can be sustained > Whether event settlement can be stable and fair > Whether narrative heat can solidify into a long-term market If these issues can be resolved, then it might not be just another prediction market but a new asset paradigm that converts real-world events into independent liquidity assets. This is also why I think 42 EventCoin is worth continued observation. Note: This is information analysis and does not constitute investment advice. DROY
蕉易猿-527
蕉易猿-527
42 @42space is a prediction market project invested in by YZi Labs @yzilabs and Coinbase Ventures @cbventures, but its brand-new pricing model is completely different from Polymarket and the like, introducing the concept of EventCoin to amplify the odds. Now it feels like the prediction market space has something exciting to play with. Two top exchanges have independently invested in 42, which means they both have high hopes for this innovative approach. Currently, they are recruiting ambassadors, and the benefits seem pretty impressive, definitely worth investing in. I heard that even just filling out the ambassador application form offers some whitelist and trial fund opportunities. The application link is as follows: 🔗