
分析:BTC跌破期权GEX密集区但隐含波动率未上行,市场并未出现明显恐慌

Odaily星球日报讯 据 Greeks.live 宏观研究员 Adam 在 X 平台发文表示,比特币已跌破期权 Gamma Exposure(GEX)密集区域,后续上方持仓阻力逐步减弱;以太坊(ETH)同样跌破约 2000 美元附近的 GEX 集中区间,短期结构性支撑被削弱。
尽管 BTC 价格已进入相对敏感区域,但隐含波动率(IV)并未明显上升,全期限 IV 仍低于 40%,远端期限持续回落。连续三日下跌亦未有效推升近端 IV,显示市场并未出现明显恐慌定价。
目前 5 月到期的期权隐含概率约 20%,明日月度交割或将显著重塑当前期权持仓结构。整体来看,市场仍在关注关键支撑有效性,大型持仓者对进一步破位风险的对冲需求并未明显抬升。
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