观点：7万美元为本轮比特币期权市场分水岭
Odaily星球日报讯 Greeks.live 宏观研究员 Adam 在 X 平台发文表示，今日 Deribit BTC 指数最低达到 70,992 美元，价格已贴近 7 万美元整数关口，该位置不仅是心理位，也是期权持仓密集区。
期权数据显示，近端 ATM IV 约 30%，波动率未出现极端恐慌式上涨，市场目前不是单边下跌定价，更像是在等待方向选择。上个月到期前 7.2 万美元是 GEX 密集区，到期后 7 万美元行权价成为 GEX 密集区，持仓明显集中。下方看跌期权 IV 明显更贵，Skew 整体下行，市场在为下行尾部风险支付更高溢价。上方看涨期权墙集中在 8 万美元、9 万美元、10 万美元，远端看涨持仓依旧较厚，中长期多头结构仍在，但短线必须先守住 7 万美元。若 7 万美元有效守住，短线可能出现 IV 回落与现货修复；若跌破并放量失守，保护性看跌期权需求可能推高短端 IV，价格或继续测试 6.8 万美元至 6.5 万美元区域。
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