大魔的财富之路
大魔的财富之路
X:@wngzhn1415 Founder of Damo Community, co-founder of Oasis University, second place in Chinese in OKX 2024 trading competition. Third place in Bitget 20215 trading competition.
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Respect market volatility and avoid stubbornly holding losing positions.
The cryptocurrency market experiences fluctuations far greater than the stock market, with annualized volatility two to three times higher, so position sizing must be at least 30% more conservative than in stocks. Trading crypto with a stock trading mindset is like facing a storm without any protection. #高盛清仓,机构持仓分化 $BTC $ETH $LAB
Five Trading Secrets, Strictly Followed by Beginners for Long-Term Survival
1. Three-stage phased position building, dividing the principal into three parts. Use 10% small position to test the market, add 20% after trend confirmation, and keep the remaining 20% as reserve funds.
2. Reasonably allocate positions to control risk: hold no more than 25% in mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, keep single positions in niche coins below 5%, and leverage within 10x should occupy no more than 10% of principal.
3. Plan positions based on stop-loss: first set a 6% stop-loss standard, calculate position size by dividing the maximum single loss by the stop-loss ratio, leaving room to avoid being easily stopped out.
4. Flexibly adjust according to market cycles: operate with small positions in bear markets, control single loss at 5%-8%; increase position to 50%-70% at the start of bull markets; reduce positions and hold more cash near the end of bull markets.
5. Avoid emotional trading: plan entry and stop-loss points in advance, limit single coin position to 20%. Immediately pause trading and review after three consecutive losses.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
1. Domestic daytime continuous decline can be an opportunity to buy the dip, while most overseas funds tend to push the market up around 21:30 at night.
2. Avoid chasing the rally during the daytime's sharp rise, as the market is prone to spike and then fall back at night, especially evident in Ethereum's movement.
3. The core reference for buying and selling is to observe the pin bar pattern; the longer the pin body, the more reliable the bullish or bearish signal.
4. Major meetings and positive announcements generally cause the market to rise in advance, but once the news is released, the market is very likely to reverse and decline. #高盛清仓,机构持仓分化 $BTC $ETH
Capture substantial profits, avoid repeated losses during sideways consolidation
Eighty percent of market movements are oscillations and grinding phases; frequent entries only lead to continuous loss of fees and principal. Patiently wait for a clear trend before taking action—that's efficient trading.
Withdraw 30% of profits once a 20% gain is reached to truly secure your earnings. Experts never trade blindly or frequently; they prefer quality over quantity, entering only when the market is clear to capture the full trend profit. $BTC $ETH
Control emotions, replace subjective intuition with trading rules
The biggest enemy in trading is impatience. I require three strict rules before placing each order: a strict 2% stop loss per trade, decisively exit when triggered; reduce position by half when profit reaches 4% to lock in gains; strictly prohibit averaging down against the trend, as increasing cost basis makes deep losses more likely.
Trading based on feelings disrupts all plans. Maintaining mindset and discipline allows capital to compound steadily without being swayed by market fluctuations. $BTC $ETH $SOL
The idea of splitting 1500U into three parts of 500U each for allocation:
One part is for intraday trading, making only one trade per day, taking profits decisively and exiting, avoiding greedy position additions;
One part is for swing trading, trading once every ten or so days, capturing medium to long-term market fluctuations;
The last part is a long-term base position, holding through all market ups and downs to protect the principal.
Most people habitually enter the market with full positions, and small market pullbacks easily cause liquidation, making subsequent profits impossible. The prerequisite for profit in the crypto space is always survival; only by withstanding volatility can you talk about doubling returns. #波动雷达:币种异动观察 $BTC $ETH $DOGE
Be cautious of false breakouts during high-level sideways trading; chasing after them can lead to immediate losses.
Avoid bottom-fishing during low-level fluctuations, as sudden crashes can occur at any time.
If the market direction is not confirmed, controlling your trades should always be your top priority.
The consolidation phase is the most prone to losses; the vast majority of losses and liquidations happen during sideways cycles.
Those who can't resist frequent trades often suffer heavy losses.
In a choppy market, counter-trend trading—buying on bearish candles and exiting on bullish candles—best matches the rhythm. #在OKX交易美股:AI双雄押哪边? $BTC $ETH $DOGE
Don't go all in on a single coin
Keep 30% cash, only when there's a crash to bottom-fish will you know the real thrill
Don't go all-in with a full position
Opportunities are always more than money; those fully invested are like trapped hunters, watching the prey slip away #高盛清仓,机构持仓分化 $BTC $ETH
Understand one rule, lose tens of thousands less
First rule
Sharp rise and slow fall indicate the main force is quietly accumulating.
After a quick short-term surge followed by a gradual decline, do not blindly stop loss and exit. This kind of market is not weakening; it is a typical shakeout pattern used to clear out retail investors with unstable holding mentality.
When the real market tops out, it usually shows a volume surge with a rapid spike, followed by a quick and sharp plunge, luring trend-following funds to enter and take the position.
Second rule
Sharp fall and slow rise indicate the main force is quietly unloading.
After a rapid market drop, a slight recovery rebound may seem like a good bottom-fishing opportunity but actually hides risks. Do not assume the drop is enough and will not continue downward; this mindset easily leads to large losses.
Third rule
High volume at the top does not necessarily mean a peak; low volume at the top requires more caution.
Sustained high volume at high prices indicates active funds in the market and likely room for further upward movement. Once volume shrinks and the price moves sideways at the top, it signals an imminent sharp decline, with buying power exhausted and a downtrend soon to start. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #超级事件周
The short positions placed at the same time a few days ago showed market trends and take-profit results that were highly consistent.
From the analysis of the short-term chart, Bitcoin faces resistance around 77200, the Bollinger Bands are trending downward overall, and the moving averages also show a bearish trend.
Resistance is dense between 77500 and 79000 above, with daily candles consecutively closing bearish; currently, support is fluctuating around 76000 and 75000.
On the news front, there has been no substantial progress in US-Iran negotiations, crude oil remains high, inflation pressure is significant, the US dollar and US bonds are strengthening, and the US stock market is weak.
The probability of a short-term Fed rate cut is slim; the market is even starting to anticipate another rate hike. Gold and silver spot prices have plunged, and the overall cryptocurrency market is dominated by bearish sentiment.
Bitcoin trading strategy: enter short at 77300, add to short positions on a rise to 77800, target 76000. #波动雷达:币种异动观察
Ethereum: short at 2135, add short at 2160, target 2085.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
