ETH毛毛虫
ETH毛毛虫
Four years in the circle|Secondary trader|Digital nomad|Love to tell the truth|Real shouting orders Analysis content|Main analysis of mainstream coins $BTC $ETH - the goal is to hold 1,000 ETH, most of the content is entertainment, and the content is real is my true opinion
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$BTC Tonight, things might change.
Will BTC make a last-ditch comeback or continue to plunge? Can you still short now? Let's clarify everything at once.
1. Two "nuclear bombs" will drop tonight.
The first is the Fed meeting minutes released at 2 AM.
What the market cares about most is not whether rates will be cut now, but whether the Fed's internal stance continues to turn hawkish.
If officials start frequently mentioning inflation, oil prices, and these issues, risk market pressure will be very high.
Will BTC continue to fall? Honestly, I’m currently cautious.
2. The reason is actually simple.
Oil prices have been high recently, and inflation hasn’t cooled significantly.
Under these circumstances, it’s getting harder for the Fed to cut rates quickly.
Some officials have even started shifting from "dovish" to "hawkish."
Although the probability of a rate hike in the short term is low, as soon as the market senses a tougher stance, capital sentiment tends to collapse first.
So for now, I don’t see any strong bullish logic.
3. But the real drama is still ahead.
At 4:30 AM, Nvidia NVDA’s earnings report will be officially released.
Its impact might even be stronger than the Fed minutes.
Because the entire US stock market, AI sector, and even crypto sentiment are highly tied to NVDA.
If the earnings just "meet expectations," the market might still reject it;
If below expectations, risk assets will likely get hammered together;
Only a clear beat could reignite market sentiment.
So tonight’s volatility will definitely be significant.
4. So how to operate now?
Personally, I still prefer to wait for a rebound to short.
Currently around 78,200, it’s still a good resistance area, fitting the idea of "short after a rebound."
As for going long, the logic for support at 76,000 has been clearly explained before.
Last night the market even gave a second chance to get in, and the rebound effect looks pretty good so far.
If you want to be more cautious, you can consider taking partial profits around 77,500 now, because the upside space beyond that compared to 78,000 isn’t much.
Tonight is destined to be turbulent.
From now on, it’s not about predictions but who can better control the pace and risk. $BTC $NVDA #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$ZEC sold and bought again! Exodus regretted selling thousands of BTC: violently scooped up 629 BTC and 19,000 SOL in April, is the wallet giant also playing the "sell high, buy low" game?
Brothers, this is a classic case of "sold too early, quickly buying back!" The crypto wallet giant Exodus just released its April report, and this move perfectly embodies the "true fragrance principle".
Back in Q1, Exodus sold over a thousand BTC from its reserves to raise funds for acquiring payment services, braving the market pressure. At that time, many probably laughed: a prominent wallet service provider cutting off its own lifeline before the bull market took off? But when April’s data came out, this guy started a crazy restocking spree.
Now their holdings have quietly rebounded: tightly holding 629 BTC, 1,872 ETH, and a full 19,234 SOL! Compared to the end of March, BTC, ETH, and SOL positions are all showing gains. It seems even the big players fear missing out, so during April’s market fluctuations, they hurriedly bought back the "fundraising BTC" bit by bit.
What’s even more hardcore is that their business data remains strong. April’s transaction volume hit $347 million, with 1.5 million monthly active users steady as ever. What does this mean? It means in this space, as long as your product is solid, even if you reduce your holdings temporarily, once you see the right signals, you can turn around and come back at any time.
The big players are telling you with real money: even if you sell coins to build your business, without some mainstream coins backing you, you’ll still be nervous. Don’t be fooled by their tough talk; when popular assets like SOL start to gain momentum, even established wallets have to obediently spend money to restock. Watching the holdings changes of these three giants is the real industry barometer—when the big players are adding positions, who do you plan to give your bleeding chips to? #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE is becoming a true second-generation competitor, challenging established companies like CME and Robinhood.
Their model doesn't let trading fees disappear into the platform's pocket; instead, 99% of the fees are directly used for buybacks. This creates a sustained structural demand for the token itself, turning daily trading volume into continuous pressure on the supply side.
This is a pretty smart way to align incentives in this market #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE 📡 Hourly Report | 13:00-14:00
1. Nvidia bets on new data center chips to drive growth, revenue outlook exceeds expectations, Mizuho raises target price to $300 based on Blackwell platform performance.
2. SpaceX officially files for IPO with a valuation of $2 trillion, but posted a $4.9 billion loss last year; Musk maintains tight control as the company bets on AI to determine its future.
3. Fintech company Intuit announces layoffs of about 3,000 employees (17% of global workforce), Q3 revenue of $8.6 billion up 10% YoY, aiming to focus on three core areas including AI.
4. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says the bank will increase hiring of AI experts and reduce hiring of bankers, reflecting AI's impact on employment structure in finance.
5. China's real estate market shows signs of bottoming out, with Shanghai housing prices rebounding, but the country still faces huge inventory pressure with 90 million vacant or unfinished homes nationwide.
6. a16z-linked wallet has purchased a total of 2.34 million HYPE tokens (about $102 million) within six weeks and immediately staked them, pushing HYPE close to its all-time high.
7. Iran says it is reviewing the latest US peace proposal; Trump keeps military action options open as tensions in the Middle East continue.
8. Anthropic expects Q2 revenue to reach $10.9 billion, potentially achieving its first quarterly operating profit, accelerating commercialization in the AI industry. #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
Losing money with $HYPE is not due to poor skills, but because you refuse to accept losses as a cost $HYPE
Many people panic as soon as they lose money, changing indicators, switching strategies, chasing news, as if they want to overturn the entire market. In fact, losses don’t mean you did something wrong; they are part of trading. When you open a position, there is a chance it will lose. It’s not a failure, it’s a cost.
Why don’t you accept it? Because you have a preset mindset: this trade should make money. When the result doesn’t meet your expectations, you feel targeted. So you become unwilling to accept it, trying to recover losses, and things get messier. Truly consistent profit-makers have about a 50% win rate. They just treat losses as the utility bills of doing business — if you lose this trade, you just need to make it back on the next one. But every time you lose, you doubt yourself, doubt the system, your mindset collapses, and your actions become distorted. $LAB
Once I understood this, I climbed out of the loss swamp. I call every stop loss a “premium”; the money lost isn’t gone, it’s the fee to keep playing. Even if you hit stop loss five times in a row, as long as you make back the sixth trade, you’re still overall profitable. The key is to survive until the sixth time. Stop blaming your skills; skills can be learned, but the recognition that “accepting losses as a cost” is your first lesson in this industry. Only when you stop obsessing over a single stop loss can you truly start trading #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE Lost nearly 1 million before I finally understood these things $ZEC
Looking back, that money wasn’t lost to the market, I gave it away myself. When people used to ask if trading crypto could make money, I said yes. Now I only say: first figure out how not to lose. $BSB
After my account broke 8 figures, I set a few strict rules for myself. I’m sharing them today—if they help, remember them; if not, just enjoy reading. $EDEN
First, don’t talk about value investing if your principal is less than 200,000 U. In a bull market, ride the main uptrend; in a bear market, learn to run. That’s the way for ordinary people to survive.
Second, don’t rush in just because of good news. I’ve tracked it myself—70-80% of good news turns into excuses for a dump within 24 hours. If you don’t run, others will treat you like an ATM.
Third, don’t hold altcoins before holidays. Five years of experience show that if there’s no crash after a holiday, it means the market makers forgot to clean up.
Fourth, don’t trust the “golden pit” below the yearly moving average. Ninety percent of people die on these three words. If you really want to bottom-fish, sell if it drops 15%, add if it drops 30%, and exit if it rebounds 8%. Don’t fantasize about a V-shaped recovery.
Fifth, to make quick money, rely on short-term trades with three highs: high volatility, high turnover, high controversy. When volume explodes and Bollinger Bands break out, don’t hesitate—opportunities won’t wait.
Sixth, stop-loss is not optional; it’s the foundation of survival. If you don’t exit a trade losing more than 7%, you’re a sacrifice. I’ve held on stubbornly too, until one day I lost hundreds of thousands and got numb, then I learned to admit defeat.
Seventh, for short-term gains, enter on a 15-minute golden cross and exit within 4 hours. Take profits over 5% and don’t be greedy. Most people don’t die from falling prices—they die from not wanting to leave.
Eighth, don’t learn a bunch of strategies. Pick one and master it. I’ve made my main gains in three years with just one strategy; I don’t touch others.
Ninth, when you think you’re bottom-fishing, you’re actually being bottom-fished. The real golden pit has three hidden conditions I can’t explain here, but those who know, know.
People die in crypto every day. It’s not the market’s fault; it’s lack of knowledge, emotional overwhelm, and unwillingness to admit mistakes.
Those who survive to today have already outlived 90% of others by a cycle.
If you want to turn things around, don’t rely on luck—first learn how not to die. #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE Trump’s tweet drives crypto market rebound
The total market capitalization of the crypto market rebounded by 0.65% in the past 24 hours, increasing by $16.7 billion to reach $2.57 trillion. According to BeInCrypto, this rebound was triggered by Trump’s social media post on May 20, promising to "quickly end" the war with Iran, which boosted risk sentiment in digital assets. Bitcoin (BTC) price rose 0.61% to $77,951, avoiding a channel decline. Hyperliquid (HYPE) surged 17.7% to $56.26 due to accumulation from the Grayscale ETF #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
[$AVAX At this level, after dropping to this level, is there still someone secretly bottom-fishing? 】
Did you know AVAX has dropped almost 94% from its peak, almost knee-slashing and ankle-cutting?
Honestly, if it were another project, I would have gone long ago, but this time I took a second look.
Right now, the Fear and Greed Index is only 29, definitely a zone of fear. Most people probably wouldn't even glance at it. But here's the interesting part—the price has actually stabilized around 9 yuan and hasn't dropped further. In 24 hours, it rose nearly 2%. Although it still fell over the week, doesn't this rhythm feel like a spring being pushed to the very bottom?
Let me tell you, historically, whenever the market panic reaches this level, it often signals a bottom. Look at the weekly average index of only 30, now even lower. What does this indicate? This shows that most people are already afraid to move; instead, it may be an opportunity.
But don't worry, I'm not telling you to rush in without thinking. Whether AVAX can rise depends on whether it can break through the 9.57 barrier next. If it holds above 8.99, I personally lean toward going long. If it falls below the threshold, then let's talk about it later.
To put it bluntly, now the question is whether it will survive or not. The project still exists, the ecosystem hasn't collapsed, yet the prices are this cheap. Whether it's worth taking a gamble, you two can judge for yourselves.
What direction is your signal?
A. Buy the dip and go long—go for it!
B. Waiting and waiting for signals
C. Remain bearish, bottomless #Rate hikes return to the discussion table: US Treasury yields approach 19-year high $BTC $ETH
$HYPE's 3 trillion money printing machine roars again! Japan plans to pour huge funds to "revive" the economy, what will you use to protect yourself in this era of massive fiat devaluation?
Brothers, shocking news has come from the Asian macro market again: Japan is reportedly considering proposing a massive supplementary budget of up to 3 trillion yen! The logic is straightforward without any embellishment—this is essentially a disguised "quantitative easing" and localized helicopter money drop. At a time when the yen is depreciating and prices are soaring, the government can only continue to borrow and print money to rob Peter to pay Paul. But from the perspective of professional capital flows, the liquidity in the fiat pool is becoming increasingly diluted. This unchecked credit expansion will only force more desperate domestic funds out of traditional banks, rushing crazily to exchanges in search of truly inflation-resistant safe-haven hard currencies. #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE Once, we watched Zec quietly rise, but hesitated and missed that incredible surge
Now
Watching Hype stir up a market frenzy, yet hovering at the peak, regretfully passing it by
Today, the real opportunity is right before us, TON is ready to surge
Relying on Telegram's massive ecosystem of hundreds of millions of users, rapid deployment of on-chain applications, and continuous inflow of funds from both institutions and retail investors
The market is about to experience a strong rally, don’t wait for others to call to get on board, accumulate steadily on dips, and secure your position
While others are still watching, you have quietly completed your layout, and in the future, you will only thank yourself for today #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点 $BTC $ETH